Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 3.932302 4.203431 4.496998 4.840924 5.236040 5.679839 6.222001
2025-03-02 3.435214 3.770482 4.152310 4.626241 5.209040 5.917268 6.868620
2025-03-09 3.124227 3.501759 3.949679 4.533563 5.296632 6.296257 7.777667
2025-03-16 2.829491 3.219766 3.696938 4.342628 5.228428 6.464766 8.468762
2025-03-23 2.662380 3.077023 3.600124 4.337006 5.404500 7.010870 9.933876
2025-03-30 2.502435 2.928576 3.480125 4.283863 5.505263 7.476580 11.514062
2025-04-06 2.347476 2.773941 3.337078 4.180331 5.513758 7.802019 13.052738
2025-04-13 2.193925 2.610290 3.168003 4.019816 5.407420 7.905428 14.217981
2025-04-20 2.124608 2.554667 3.143698 4.072129 5.660218 8.765856 18.223665
2025-04-27 2.066774 2.510202 3.130687 4.139545 5.953786 9.839075 24.925063
2025-05-04 2.028843 2.490348 3.151044 4.262442 6.378693 11.449597 40.421666
2025-05-11 1.974545 2.443304 3.126276 4.306378 6.661532 12.900413 71.243193
2025-05-18 1.899430 2.367805 3.061417 4.290709 6.859792 14.432360 194.021851
2025-05-25 1.808236 2.263943 2.945325 4.171520 6.808366 15.152123 1252.370882
2025-06-01 1.742284 2.194102 2.878494 4.136079 6.951081 16.863098 NaN
2025-06-08 1.662782 2.100043 2.766688 4.004653 6.833864 17.402277 NaN
2025-06-15 1.618662 2.057151 2.735160 4.023884 7.110968 20.444428 NaN
2025-06-22 1.569397 2.003832 2.682693 3.996081 7.260719 23.274165 NaN
2025-06-29 1.515236 1.940455 2.609449 3.918777 7.254718 25.211221 NaN
2025-07-06 1.455386 1.865886 2.513368 3.786120 7.059603 25.351555 NaN
2025-07-13 1.431077 1.845524 2.508105 3.841232 7.452057 32.802088 NaN
2025-07-20 1.410056 1.829182 2.508455 3.908436 7.917590 46.118023 NaN
2025-07-27 1.397237 1.825073 2.529683 4.024437 8.616741 84.050101 NaN